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Webinar Pandemic risk: an underestimated problem?

This Webinar took place on 16 December 2020

Many organisations have been hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, claiming they could never have foreseen this extreme situation. Only seven of the 25 AEX companies mentioned a pandemic as a risk in their annual report. Still, several experts have warned of the danger of a pandemic. For example, in 2006 DNB published a scenario study on the economic impact of a pandemic and advised organisations to take such a scenario into account in their risk management practice. 

Why have most of our models ignored these tail risks of contagious diseases? Practically every risk management practice has had psychological pitfalls as its origin. Which complex human behaviour and psychological processes and influences were at the heart of major disasters? And what lessons can risk managers learn to improve their understanding of the real world?

Speakers

Ronald Bosman (lecturer)

After graduating cum laude in Economics from the University of Amsterdam, Dr Ronald Bosman went on to conduct PhD research into the experimental economy, in particular the influence of emotional factors on economic decisions. He then worked for DNB, most recently as a senior economist with the Financial Stability division, advising management on macroprudential policy and systemic risks. Since 2011 Ronald has been an independent consultant/trainer specialized in macro-financial risks.

Serge Bekooij (discussant)

After graduating in Financial Economics from the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Serge Bekooij started his career at the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM). Currently, Serge is acting as Senior Advisor in the AFM’s International & Strategy Department, with 15 years of experience from financial market supervision. His field of expertise is supervision strategy, capital markets research, and financial innovation.

Thomas van Galen (discussant)

Thomas van Galen has been Senior Strategist at De Nederlandsche Bank since 2019 and in that capacity wrote the Vision on Supervision, among other things. Before that he worked as Chief Economist at Cardano. Since 2011 he has been affiliated with the VU University as a lecturer within the MSc Risk Management for Financial Institutions. T

Maarten Gelderman (discussant)

Maarten Gelderman is Division Director Supervisory Policy at De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB). He is a member of the Management Board and Board of Supervisors of the European Banking Authority. In earlier roles at DNB, he was involved in the direct supervision of banks, payment firms, and investment firms, quantitative risk management, and financial stability. 

Jos Heuvelman (discussant) 

Jos Heuvelman has been a member of the Executive Board of the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM) since 1 September 2018. Within the board, he is responsible for the AFM's supervision of the retail market. Heuvelman worked at the Dutch Central Bank (DNB) as a central banker and as supervisor of the financial sector for (nearly) 33 years. 

Willem Verschoor (moderator)

Prof. dr. Willem Verschoor is Professor of Finance and Director of the School of Business and Economics Executive Education in Finance. He is also Research Fellow of the Tinbergen Institute. Willem has broad knowledge and wide-ranging experience in the financial sector and the university community, as a senior executive, an advisor and as a supervisor. His experience in the financial sector involves asset management firms, corporate finance advisory, investment banks, and their research units.

woman with mask and umbrella during covid pandamic