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Stephan Seiler | Imperial College London | 16.12.2025

How do we Recover Unbiased Treatment Effects when Prices Respond to Demand?
We were honored to host Stephan Seiler, Professor of Marketing at Imperial College London. A distinguished quantitative scholar, Professor Seiler holds several editorial positions at Management Science and the Journal of Marketing Research, and is a key organizer of the European Quant Marketing Seminar (eQMS).

Professor Seiler’s research focuses on the intersection of machine learning and consumer search behavior, utilizing large-scale data to understand decision-making across diverse sectors—from consumer goods to healthcare. His recent work addresses a fundamental challenge in causal inference: estimating demand when prices adjust endogenously in response to a treatment.

By applying his methodology to supermarket scanner data, Professor Seiler demonstrates how traditional regressions can lead to substantial bias when prices are not properly instrumented. His research provides a robust framework for testing and recovering unbiased treatment effects, offering critical methodological guidance for scholars and practitioners analyzing the impact of advertising and pricing strategies

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