Taming the Tangle
New framework expands climate policy options
Julius Schlumberger developed the DAPP-MR method, a policy analysis framework that helps plan disaster management in complex environments where multiple risks occur simultaneously, such as floods, droughts, and wildfires. The method maps how such hazards and sectors interact and visualizes long-term risks and trade-offs. This allows cities, for example, to better coordinate water protection, drought management, and energy transition and identify where current choices limit future options.
Traditional disaster management often falls short because floods, droughts, and other hazards can reinforce each other. A preceding drought or wildfire can exacerbate a rainfall event, and an earthquake can make a city more vulnerable to subsequent flooding. DAPP-MR offers a structured approach to understanding such complex, interrelated risks and developing adaptive strategies.
Field tests show that the framework supports both models and expert meetings. It helps connect interests, uncover governance shortcomings, and create a framework for action. Although full model applications are intensive, a qualitative effort is already proving valuable in promoting dialogue and joint decision-making.
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