Despite this importance, persistence of extreme summer weather has largely been neglected by the climate science community.
- What maintains stagnating summer weather?
- Do climate models capture the underlying processes accurately?
- What is the role of global warming?
Persistence is linked to sea-surface temperature, soil moisture and atmospheric circulation which are expected to change with future warming but the uncertainties are large.
This study was conducted in collaboration with KNMI.
For more information, please visit the site https://github.com/semvijverberg/RGCPD
- Raymond, C. et al. (2019). Projections and Hazards of Future Extreme Heat. In Pfeffer, W.T., Smith, J.B. & Ebi, K.L. (eds), The Oxford Handbook of Planning for Climate Change Hazards (pp. 1–43). Oxford University Press. doi: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190455811.013.59.
- Kornhuber, K. et al. (2019). Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions. Nature Climate Change.
- Pfleiderer, P. et al. (2019). Summer weather becomes more persistent in a 2°C world. Nature Climate Change, 9, 666–671. doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0555-0